An essential textbook for any student or researcher in biology needing to design experiments sample programs or analyse the resulting data. The text begins with a revision of estimation & hypothesis testing methods covering both classical & Bayesian philosophies before advancing to the analysis of linear & generalized linear models. Topics covered include linear & logistic regression simple & complex ANOVA models (for factorial nested block split-plot & repeated measures & covariance designs) & log-linear models. Multivariate techniques including classification & ordination are then introduced. Special emphasis is placed on checking assumptions exploratory data analysis & presentation of results. The main analyses are illustrated with many examples from published papers & there is an extensive reference list to both the statistical & biological literature. The book is supported by a web-site that provides all data sets questions for each chapter & links to software. ...

Well-known watercolour painter Ann Blockley presents flowers through a variety of interpretations from traditional to unconventional in both technique & concept. In this exciting new book she really pushes the boundaries of watercolour showing how to paint a stunning range of flowers throughout the seasons. Everyone loves to paint flowers in spring & summer but Ann inspires you to paint dramatic seedheads foliage fruit & berries in winter as well as the more traditional flowers & blossoms. She also demonstrates how to create exciting textures by using collage materials like glitter sequins salt & gold paint. Divided by seasons into four sections Experimental Flowers in Watercolour is a practical & inspirational book aimed at the more experienced flower painter who wishes to take their painting to the next level. ...

A much-needed book on cutting-edge textile design & practice with experimental design ideas unusual materials & the latest techniques. The author takes you from finding original ideas through the design process
- with exercises
- to the latest techniques various artists use to transform the designs into finished textiles. The book covers: paper felt machine embroidery recycling hand stitch working with & combining unusual materials layering different media working in three-dimensions & also in large scale. Showcased textiles include quilt art quirky boxes cloth dolls & large-scale textile installations -- a collection of the best & most exciting textile art today. With technique information & several projects for readers to try plus inspirational work by existing & emerging textile artists this is an essential book for all those working in textiles.

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The intelligence failures surrounding the invasion of Iraq dramatically illustrate the necessity of developing standards for evaluating expert opinion. This book fills that need. Here Philip E. Tetlock explores what constitutes good judgment in predicting future events & looks at why experts are often wrong in their forecasts. Tetlock first discusses arguments about whether the world is too complex for people to find the tools to understand political phenomena let alone predict the future. He evaluates predictions from experts in different fields comparing them to predictions by well-informed laity or those based on simple extrapolation from current trends. He goes on to analyze which styles of thinking are more successful in forecasting. Classifying thinking styles using Isaiah Berlins prototypes of the fox & the hedgehog Tetlock contends that the fox
- the thinker who knows many little things draws from an eclectic array of traditions & is better able to improvise in response to changing events
- is more successful in predicting the future than the hedgehog who knows one big thing toils devotedly within one tradition & imposes formulaic solutions on ill-defined problems. He notes a perversely inverse relationship between the best scientific indicators of good judgement & the qualities that the media most prizes in pundits
- the single-minded determination required to prevail in ideological combat. Clearly written & impeccably researched the book fills a huge void in the literature on evaluating expert opinion. It will appeal across many academic disciplines as well as to corporations seeking to develop standards for judging expert decision-making.


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Growing your own food has become one of the nations most popular pastimes
- in 2008 sales of vegetable seeds exceeded sales of
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This is a book designed to help teachers understand English grammar & explain it to their students. Each chapter focuses on a problematic area for example ' Articles' ' Conditionals' & ' Direct & indirect speech' &

Includes:: exercises for the reader & teaching ideas.

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The perfect grounding for students intending to take their studies to a more advanced level Explaining Physics" contains all the essential concepts required by students studying Physics within any Key Stage 4 science course. " Explaining Physics" emphasizes the applications & social effects of physics & extends its treatment of energy & electronics. The features are: introductory page to each unit to bring out the relevance of the material to everyday life; simple questions at the end of each unit to consolidate learning; & helpful revision summary." ...

If you read the papers youd think that the only girls to get hooked are from dysfunctional families. But what happened to me could happen to anyone. Your child your sister your friend
- even yourself if you are young & naive enough like I was Emma was just 13 when her happy childhood came crashing down. A nice girl from a good home she had no idea the young lads she & her friends met every Saturday in the shopping mall werent all they seemed. The boys were part of an organised child sexual exploitation gang targeting innocent young girls grooming them for prostitution. Captivated by the ring leader & the alcohol & drugs he freely handed round Emma didnt see the first brutal rape coming. From that moment her life was never her own. Emma found herself drawn into a trap of degradation & violence frightened for her life & not knowing where to turn. But Exploited" is also the story of how she found the courage & inner strength to risk everything & escape. " Exploited" is an updated edition of Emmas book " The End of My World"
- brought bang up to date with a brand new chapter."

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I decided to run away. There simply wasnt anything else to do. Here at last is Moominpappas promised life story
- from the days
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Explore Australia continues to be the best-value travel guide & atlas on the market & is an invaluable travel bible for anyone planning an extended holiday in Australia. Explore Australia 2013 covers over 700 towns in detail & each of the countrys capital cities. Theres also an overview of the must sees & must dos for each holiday region in Australia. In addition this trusted guidebook

Includes:: the population for every major town across the country selected food & accommodation listings a comprehensive atlas as well as detailed maps for key tourist towns. An overview of Australia outlining the countrys history flora & fauna completes the package.

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