Bayesian methods have become the widely used statistical methods for data analysis & modeling The BUGS software has become the popular software for Bayesian analysis worldwide This title provides a practical introduction to this program & its use It covers the functionalities of BUGS including prediction missing data & model criticism 399 pages 23 Tables black & white; 91 Illustrations black & white Spiegelhalter David ...

From the hanging gardens of Babylon to the pyramids of Egypt & without forgetting the Greek Parthenon The Builders Antiquity — a standalone card game based on The Builders Middle Ages — offers a whole range of challenges to its builders To face these challenges you must put on your foreman clothes Between hiring workers managing their organization purchasing slaves or tools & taking out loans you&ll have to make the right decisions to fulfill your dream Becoming the greatest builder the age has ever known In the game players score points (and gain money) by completing the construction of buildings Each building has four characteristics — carpentry masonry architecture painting — rated between 0 & 5 & the workers have the same characteristics valued in the same range To complete a construction the player must add enough workers to cover the four characteristics of the building but placing a worker on a construction site costs money Each turn players have three free actions; however for an added cost players may also chose to buy additional actions during their turn Unlike in The Builders Middle Ages players can acquire slaves & put them to work but if they don&t pay to free the slaves by the end of the game they lose points Other changes from the original game include the ability to send your workers to universities or purchase tools to improve their characteristics Make use of your workers of your slaves or your freed slaves to build your buildings & amass victory points to ultimately be named the greatest builder of all! ...

All at once it was as if the stars leapt closer Grandma grabbed the boy raising him high above the rooftiles on her head She was alive! The boy's grandma was a famous architect Her garden is still full of old building materials Unwilling to accept she has gone the boy builds a giant structure from the bricks & girders he finds & then Grandma comes to life! The boy is whisked away on an epic adventure across fields through oceans & atop roofs But where is Grandma taking him? Beautiful thrilling & extremely moving the extraordinary debut picture book from much-loved author Ross Montgomery ...

' Mary Renault is a shining light to both historical novelists & their readers She does not pretend the past is like the present or that the people of ancient Greece were just like us She shows us their strangeness; discerning sure-footed challenging our values piquing our curiosity she leads us through an alien landscape that moves & delights us' HILARY MANTEL' Mary Renault's portraits of the ancient world are fierce complex & eloquent infused at every turn with her life-long passion for the Classics Her characters live vividly both in their own time & in ours' MADELINE MILLERThe sequel to The King Must Die The Bull from the Sea continues the story of the hero Theseus after his return from Crete Having freed the city of Athens from the onerous tribute demanded by the ruler of Knossos
- the sacrifice of noble youths & maidens to the appetite of the Labyrinth's monster
- Theseus has returned home to find his father dead & himself the new king But his adventures have only just begun he still must confront the Amazons capture their queen Hippolyta & face the tragic results of Phaedra's jealous rage Piecing together the fragments of myth & using her deep understanding of the cultures reflected in these legends Mary Renault has constructed an enthralling narrative of a time when heroes battled monsters & gods strode the earth' There's much to say about her interweaving of myth & history & just as interestingly there's much to wonder at in the way she fills in the large dark spaces where we know next to nothing about the times she describes an important & wonderful writer she set a course into serious-minded psychologically intense historical fiction that today seems more important than ever' Sam Jordison Guardian

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Butcher's assistant Norman is banned from entering a hospital to visit little orphaned Lindy But he must get in somehow ...

There's a new bee at Bee School But that bee is not a bee It's a BEAR! Cheeky sneaky Norman has a cunning plot to trick the bees & steal their honey In his best bee onesie Norman makes quite a convincing bee -- but how long will his disguise last? & when the hive is endangered can he finally discover his true destiny & become The Bumblebear? ...

This is one of the best books I have read on the subject The Sun Fresh witty & reassuringly down-to-earth You Magazine Fed up with advice that did not take into account a less than perfect pregnancy Dr Chiara Hunt & Marina Fogle set up their pregnancy course The Bump Class in London in 2013 They wanted to help prepare new mothers thoroughly for the birth of their babies & instil in them the joy & happiness of birth no matter what the method time or setting of the labour This book is a pragmatic & honest look at pregnancy giving pregnant women & new mothers sensible & practical advice on what is to be expected (as well as the often unexpected!) in a friendly & open manner Chiara & Marina believe that there is no such thing as a normal pregnancy or birth
- every woman is different & that should be celebrated not ignored The Bump Class is filled with charming illustrations impartial advice style tips & hilarious anecdotes from both of the authors as well as personal stories from the women who have been welcomed onto their course This book will provide every pregnant woman with the support & reassurance that is so essential at the most crucial time in any woman's life
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I threw the kitchen sink at him but he went to the bathroom & got his tub Andy Roddick on Roger Federer When I lost my decathlon world record I took it like a man I only cried for ten hours Daley Thompson I've seen George Foreman shadow boxing & the shadow won Muhammad Ali Win lose or draw players & fans always have something to say about it Packed to the rafters with the best quips "es from across the world of sport this massive collection will keep you smiling in the stands even when you're smarting from the scoreline ...

Hundreds of silly jokes on every topic you can think of! What's the difference between an elephant & a biscuit? You can't dunk an elephant in your tea Why did the monster get good marks in his exam? Because two heads are better than one What do you call a woman with a tortoise on her head? Shelley ...

On their way to bury a time capsule five friends – Grady Heidi Natasha Daniel & Billy – uncover a metal bunker buried deep in the woods Inside they find letters addressed to each of them from their future selves Told they will destroy the world in the very near future the friends find themselves over the next few days growing further & further apart Though they&ve been warned against making the wrong choices how do they know what the right ones are? Can the future really be changed or will an even darker fate engulf the world? ...