Based on a course in the theory of statistics this text concentrates on what can be achieved using the likelihood Fisherian method of taking account of uncertainty when studying a statistical problem It takes the concept ot the likelihood as providing the best methods for unifying the demands of statistical modelling & the theory of inference Every likelihood concept is illustrated by realistic examples which are not compromised by computational problems Examples range from a simile comparison of two accident rates to complex studies that require generalised linear or semiparametric modelling The emphasis is that the likelihood is not simply a device to produce an estimate but an important tool for modelling The book generally takes an informal approach where most important results are established using heuristic arguments & motivated with realistic examples With the currently available computing power examples are not contrived to allow a closed analytical solution & the book can concentrate on the statistical aspects of the data modelling In addition to classical likelihood theory the book covers many modern topics such as generalized linear models & mixed models non parametric smoothing robustness the EM algorithm & empirical likelihood ...

Inspired by Jesus' prayer his disciples asked him Lord teach us to pray' (Luke 111) This book gives many time-honoured answers to that request There is a wealth here of fresh ways to pray such as using nature & dreams as inspiration & getting in touch with one's emotions Key topics such as distractions dryness & doubt as well as joy & finding God in all things are covered The Church's tradition from the Our Father to the Eucharist the saints & pilgrimages is offered as a resource for the individual God meets you where you are & the fact that you are holding this book in your hand means you are already open to that encounter' From the Introduction ...

Johnny is a young Irish actor who decides to try for a new life in America He moves with his wife Sarah & two young daughters to New York City & sets out to find work Things don't quite as well as he hoped & he & Sarah are forced to take badly paid jobs to make ends meet ...

Ben knows he's taking on a lot offering to do the first hundred lengths of the swimathon himself but he's desperate to impress Jack & Harry But as he swims
- & swims
- Jack realises that his 'friends' aren't going to show Now he either has to forfeit or swim another hundred lengths! But support & encouragement come from an unlikely quarter & Ben pushes his way to victory Particularly suitable for struggling reluctant & dyslexic readers aged 7

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Please note this is a region 2 DVD & will require a region 2 or region free DVD player in order to play Documentary following Madonna during her 1990 & Blonde Ambition& tour Features footage covering the material girl&s relationships with her dancers & backing singers her boyfriend Warren Beatty & her family & friends

Includes:: appearances from Pedro Almodovar Antonio Banderas Sandra Bernhard & Kevin Costner

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Bampton Derbyshire January 1978 Two girls go missing Rachel Jones returns Sophie Jenkins is never found Thirty years later Sophie Jenkins's mother commits suicide Rachel Jones has tried to put the past behind her & move on with her life But news of the suicide re-opens old wounds & Rachel realises that the only way she can have a future is to finally discover what really happened all those years ago This is a story about loss & family secrets & how often the very darkest secrets are those that are closest to you ...

Like the author's exquisite first book Bringing Nature Home this much-awaited follow-up title presents stunning arrangements ...

Please note this is a region 2 DVD & will require a region 2 (Europe) or region Free DVD Player in order to play Tbilisi Georgia 1992 Civil war is raging in the province of Abkhazia Two 14-year-olds Natia & Eka find their childhood coming to an end Natia&s alcoholic father constantly terrorises her entire family & Eka rebels against her mother & older sister These two inseparable friends try to find peace outside their family as days are filled with anxiety about what the future will hold for them A thrilling moving & engrossing drama telling a story from one of the world&s most unrepresented countries this is independent world cinema at its boldest & finest ...

Fourteen years after independence the enduring childhood friendship of three women has carried them through times of violence & loss in Kenya their chosen homeland Hannah Olsen & her husband Lars own Langani Farm & Safari Lodge where they struggle to protect their wildlife & land from poachers & corrupt officials But the developing relationship between their daughter & a young African boy with a terrifying legacy tests the strength of their family Sarah Singh wildlife researcher & renowned photographer is married to an Indian journalist However their inability to have children puts Sarah's relationship with her husband & his family under increasing pressure & Camilla Broughton Smith international model & fashion designer has given up a sparkling career to work with the charismatic safari guide Anthony Chapman who has been injured in a tragic accident Yet his bitterness & fear of commitment threaten to shatter her dreams The final part of the Langani trilogy is an unforgettable story of courage & fortitude of loyalty & murderous deceit of friendship & betrayal set against the backdrop of the beauty & wilderness of Kenya ...

Please note this is a region B Blu-ray & will require a region B or region free Blu-ray player in order to play Irish hit men Ken (Brendon Gleeson KINGDOM OF HEAVEN) & Ray (Colin Farrell MIAMI VICE)are sent to Bruges Belgium in order to lay low after a job goes wrong but their exile turns out to be more than it first appears ...