What are the odds against winning the Lottery making money in a casino or backing the right horse? Every day people make judgements on these matters & face other decisions that rest on their understanding of probability: buying insurance following medical advice carrying an umbrella. Yet many of us have a frightening ignorance of how probability works. Taking Chances presents an entertaining & fascinating exploration of probability revealing traps & fallacies in the field. It describes & analyses a remarkable variety of situations where chance plays a role including football pools the Lottery TV games sport cards roulette coins & dice. The book guides the reader round common pitfalls demonstrates how to make better informed decisions & shows where the odds can be unexpectedly in your favour. This new edition has been fully updated &

Includes:: information on Who Wants to be a Millionaire?" & " The Weakest Link" plus a new chapter on Probability for Lawyers."

...

When journalist Rachel Carmedi is kidnapped & murdered by a Colombian drug cartel her lover & partner Tom Chambers racked by guilt vows to avenge her death. Ellen Shelby & Michael Mc Cann want to turn Rachel's story into their first Hollywood movie whilst Chambers agrees to track down the killers. But his need for vengeance soon overrides their desires. In London high-flyer Sandy Paul helping to raise finance for the film still harbours a fierce passion for Michael & aims to remove Ellen from his life. Love lust jealousy & ambition take the stage with high finance power & mortal danger. Torn loyalties male pride & female desires turn the movie into a terrifying trap of death threats & destruction... ...

Are you unhappy with your current method of birth control? Or are you demoralized by your quest to have a baby? Do you also experience confusing signs & symptoms at various times in your menstrual cycle but are frustrated by a lack of simple explanations? This invaluable resource will provide the answers to the questions while giving amazing insights into your own body. Taking Charge of Your Fertility has helped hundreds of thousands of women to get pregnant avoid pregnancy naturally or simply gain better control of their health & their lives. This book thoroughly explains the empowering Fertility Awareness Method which in only a couple of minutes a day allows you to: -Maximise your chances of conception before you see a doctor or expedite your fertility treatment by quickly identifying impediments to pregnancy achievement -Enjoy highly effective & scientifically proven birth control without chemicals or devices -Gain control of your sexual & gynaecological health ...

The fascinating insightful & at times hilarious memoirs of one of the most gifted & enigmatic British footballers of the last 25 years. Nicknamed Le God" by the Southampton faithful Matt Le Tissier was not cast from the same mould as 99% of other professional footballers. A real "one-off" if every there was one he was a one-club man in a 16-year career that brought little in the way of trophies but countless plaudits from footballs fans & commentators alike. To the old school brigade he was a "luxury player" someone with a less than ideal work rate & waistline who simply wouldnt conform to the blueprint of a typically hard-working unsophisticated British player. Terry Venables & Glenn Hoddle found it all too easy to leave him out of their England squads. But to the vast majority Le Tissier was a maverick to be treasured a flair player who lit up every match he played in & delighted fans with his sumptuous technique & elan for the beautiful game. In fact the kind of skilful inventive player & scorer of wonderful goals this country produces all too rarely. Did he simply enjoy the comfort zone of being a big fish in a small pond? Or did he display commendable loyalty in staying with Southampton for his entire career? Did he shun opportunities to move on? Were England managers right not to pick him so many times? Would Fabio Capello pick him for England now? Does the British game discourage his style of play? & how much would he be worth in todays transfer market? Taking Le Tiss is the great mans first chance to answer all these questions & many more. It is also a delightfully self-deprecating & witty story from a player who was more of a Big-Mac-&-fries than a chicken-&-beans man." ...

The fascinating insightful & at times hilarious memoirs of one of the most gifted & enigmatic British footballers of the last 25 years. Nicknamed Le God" by the Southampton faithful Matt Le Tissier was not cast from the same mould as 99% of other professional footballers. A real "one-off" if every there was one he was a one-club man in a 16-year career that brought little in the way of trophies but countless plaudits from footballs fans & commentators alike. To the old school brigade he was a "luxury player" someone with a less than ideal work rate & waistline who simply wouldnt conform to the blueprint of a typically hard-working unsophisticated British player. Terry Venables & Glenn Hoddle found it all too easy to leave him out of their England squads. But to the vast majority Le Tissier was a maverick to be treasured a flair player who lit up every match he played in & delighted fans with his sumptuous technique & elan for the beautiful game. In fact the kind of skilful inventive player & scorer of wonderful goals this country produces all too rarely. Did he simply enjoy the comfort zone of being a big fish in a small pond? Or did he display commendable loyalty in staying with Southampton for his entire career? Did he shun opportunities to move on? Were England managers right not to pick him so many times? Would Fabio Capello pick him for England now? Does the British game discourage his style of play? & how much would he be worth in todays transfer market? Taking Le Tiss is the great mans first chance to answer all these questions & many more. It is also a delightfully self-deprecating & witty story from a player who was more of a Big-Mac-&-fries than a chicken-&-beans man." ...

Grand Central station New York. 1:23pm. What starts as a normal day on the New York City subway becomes a race against time when a commuter train is hijacked. It is packed with passengers & the ransom is one million dollars. The NYPD frantically pursue the train on the city streets but the question remains: the subway is a closed system
- surely there is no way out... But the four hijackers led by a mercenary named Ryder have thought about this. & once they receive their ransom money they plan to send the train off at top speed toward the terminal station where it will crash killing all the passengers...
...

' Billy Collins is one of my favourite poets in the world' Carol Ann Duffy Readers will only have to open this book at random to realize the privation a life without Billy Collins has been. A writer of immense grace & humanity Billy Collins shows how the great forces of history & nature converge on the tiniest details of our lives
- & in doing so presents them in a new radiance. He is also unbelievably funny. ' The most popular poet in America' New York Times ' Billy Collins writes lovely poems.. . Limpid gently & consistently startling more serious than they seem they describe all the worlds that are & were & some others besides' John Updike ' Billy Collins' medium is a rare amalgam of accessibility & intelligence. I'd follow this man's mind anywhere. Expect to be surprised' Michael Donaghy ' Smart his strings tuned & resonant his wonderful eye looping over the things events & ideas of the world rueful playful warm voiced easy to love' E. Annie Proulx
...

When Ellen finished the Vendee Globe yachtings toughest race aged just 24 the nation took her to its heart. The depth of the affection for Ellen is extraordinary
- she makes people feel like they can do anything! This is her story written in true Ellen style in her own words without the help of a ghost writer. Passionate dramatic & deeply affecting her story will move & inspire all who read it.
...

A practical stimulating & superbly illustrated book for intermediate watercolourists who are looking for greater challenges in their work & who are prepared to experiment with this popular medium. Shirley Trevena's watercolours are visually inspiring vibrant with colour & strong in composition. This book shows what stunning results she achieves & how she does it by taking risks with watercolour. Although watercolour can be a difficult medium to handle Shirley maintains that you get the best results if you have no sense of fear & just let yourself enjoy watercolour's fascinating versatility. Taking you through her paintings from the first concept to the finished watercolour Shirley explains & illustrates her prize-winning techniques for producing luminous & colourful watercolours. She covers a wide range of topics encouraging the reader to experiment with vibrant colour dynamic composition tone & bold textures & patterns to produce exciting still life landscape & flower paintings. She also explains what to do if things go wrong & how to develop your paintings successfully & move on in your work. ...

Today most major cities have undertaken some form of sustainability initiative. Yet there have been few systematic comparisons across cities or theoretically grounded considerations of what works & what does not & why. In Taking Sustainable Cities Seriously Kent Portney addresses this gap offering a comprehensive overview & analysis of sustainability programs & policies in American cities. After discussing the conceptual underpinnings of sustainability he examines the local aspects of sustainability; considers the measurement of sustainability & offers an index of serious" sustainability for the fifty-five largest cities in the country; examines the relationship between sustainability & economic growth; & discusses issues of governance equity & implementation. He also offers extensive case studies with separate chapters on large medium-size & small cities & provides an empirically grounded analysis of why some large cities are more ambitious than others in their sustainability efforts. This second edition has been updated throughout with new material that draws on the latest research. It also offers numerous additional case studies a new chapter on management & implementation issues & a greatly expanded comparative analysis of big-city sustainability initiatives. Portney shows how cities use the broad rubric of sustainability to achieve particular political ends & he dispels the notion that only cities that are politically liberal are interested in sustainability. Taking Sustainable Cities Seriously draws a roadmap for effective sustainability initiatives." ...