Nassim Nicholas Taleb's phenomenal international bestseller The Black Swan The Impact of the Highly Improbable shows us how to stop trying to predict everything
- & take advantage of uncertainty What have the invention of the wheel Pompeii the Wall Street Crash Harry Potter & the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans the random events that underlie our lives from bestsellers to world disasters Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them ' Taleb is a bouncy & even exhilarating guide I came to relish what he said & even develop a sneaking affection for him as a person' Will Self Independent on Sunday ' He leaps like some superhero of the mind' Boyd Tonkin Independent ' Funny quirky & thought-provoking confirms his status as a guru for every would-be Damien Hirst George Soros & aspirant despot' John Cornwell Sunday Times ' Idiosyncratically brilliant' Niall Ferguson Sunday Telegraph ' Great fun brash stubborn entertaining opinionated curious cajoling' Stephen J Dubner Co-Author of Freakonomics