Why do smart people make irrational decisions every day? The answers will surprise you Predictably Irrational is an intriguing witty & utterly original look at why we all make illogical decisions Why can a 50p aspirin do what a 5p aspirin can't? If an item is free it must be a bargain right? Why is everything relative even when it shouldn't be? How do our expectations influence our actual opinions & decisions? In this astounding book behavioural economist Dan Ariely cuts to the heart of our strange behaviour demonstrating how irrationality often supplants rational thought & that the reason for this is embedded in the very structure of our minds Predicatably Irrational brilliantly blends everyday experiences with a series of illuminating & often surprising experiments that will change your understanding of human behaviour & by recognising these patterns Ariely shows that we can make better decisions in business in matters of collective welfare & in our everyday lives from drinking coffee to losing weight buying a car to choosing a romantic partner ...

Excel predictive analytics for serious data crunchers! The movie Moneyball made predictive analytics famous Now you can apply the same techniques to help your business win You don't need multimillion-dollar software All the tools you need are available in Microsoft Excel & all the knowledge & skills are right here in this book! Microsoft Excel MVP Conrad Carlberg shows you how to use Excel predictive analytics to solve real-world problems in areas ranging from sales & marketing to operations Carlberg offers unprecedented insight into building powerful credible & reliable forecasts showing how to gain deep insights from Excel that would be difficult to uncover with costly tools such as SAS or SPSS You'll get an extensive collection of downloadable Excel workbooks you can easily adapt to your own unique requirements plus VBA code-much of it open-source-to streamline several of this book's most complex techniques Step by step you'll build on Excel skills you already have learning advanced techniques that can help you increase revenue reduce costs & improve productivity By mastering predictive analytics you'll gain a powerful competitive advantage for your company & yourself Learn both the how & why of using data to make better tactical decisions Choose the right analytics technique for each problem Use Excel to capture live real-time data from diverse sources including third-party websites Use logistic regression to predict behaviors such as will buy versus won't buy Distinguish random data bounces from real fundamental changes Forecast time series with smoothing & regression Construct more accurate predictions by using Solver to find maximum likelihood estimates Manage huge numbers of variables & enormous datasets with principal components analysis & Varimax factor rotation Apply ARIMA (Box-Jenkins) techniques to build better forecasts & understand their meaning ...

It is best to be prepared when this darkly ambitious usurper from the Lion King has his eyes on the throne Designed by Jim Shore Scar sings proudly of his villainous plot to steal the crown with details of his laughing hyena henchmen decorating his pelt Unique variations should be expected as this product is hand painted Packed in a branded gift box Not a toy or children&s product Intended for adults only Disney Traditions figurine Designed by Jim Shore Folk art inspired patterns with bold colours Handmade & hand painted Branded Gift box ...

As we stand on the cusp of a fundamental restructuring of the housing & building industries this book provides timely insights into the promise of prefabricated housing The idea of a more industrialised approach to house building is not a new one since the 19thcentury designers inventors engineers builders developers & entrepreneurs have all been fascinated by the idea of the factory-built modular home But international housing affordability crises emerging technologies & concerns for more sustainable building practices have given a new urgency to the need to transform building construction in the 21st century Richly illustrated & drawing on historical examples & contemporary design studies the book takes the reader through the foundations of prefab leading up to a discussion of contemporary problems & opportunities It

Includes:: a broad international survey of leading companies & their products & draws on research from an international team of experts in the field This book suggests a future scenario for industrialised house building that will both challenge the existing industry & stimulate the public imagination

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Tracklist Electric Guitars (Remastered)A Prisoner of the Past (Remastered) The Mystery of Love (Remastered) Life's a Miracle (Remastered) Anne Marie (Remastered) Whoever You Are (Remastered) Steal Your Thunder (Remastered) Avenue of Stars (Remastered) Swans (Remastered) The Fifth Horseman (Remastered) Weightless (Remastered) Andromeda Heights (Remastered) ...

Tracklist A1 I Trawl The Megahertz Voice ? Yvonne Connors 2206 C1 Esprit De Corps 451 C2 Fall From Grace 338 C3 We Were Poor 449 C4 Orchid 7 420 D1 I'm 49 348 D2 Sleeping Rough 334 D3 Ineffable 242 D4 But We Were Happy 350 ...

Tracklist The World Awake (Remastered) Life of Surprises (Remastered) Horsechimes (Remastered) Wicked Things (Remastered) Dublin (Remastered) Tiffanys (Remastered) Diana (Remastered) Talkin Scarlet (Remastered)' Til the Cows Come Home (Remastered) Pearly Gates (Remastered) ...

Tracklist A1 Faron Young 348A2 Bonny 342A3 Appetite 355A4 When Love Breaks Down Producer
- Phil Thornalley Remix
- Thomas Dolby

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Tracklist A1 Faron Young 348 A2 Bonny 342 A3 Appetite 355 A4 When Love Breaks Down Producer
- Phil Thornalley Remix
- Thomas

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Tracklist A1 Don't Sing 351 A2 Cue Fanfare 404 A3 Green Isaac I 331 A4 Here On The Eerie 358 A5 Cruel 418 B1 Couldn't Bear To Be Special 344 B2 I Never Play Basketball Now 338 B3 Ghost Town Blues 319 B4 Elegance 344 B5 Technique 436 B6 Green Isaac II 125 ...