Hidden Markov Models for Time Series An Introduction Using R Second Edition illustrates the great flexibility of hidden Markov models (HMMs) as general-purpose models for time series data The book provides a broad understanding of the models & their uses After presenting the basic model formulation the book covers estimation forecasting decoding prediction model selection & Bayesian inference for HMMs Through examples & applications the authors describe how to extend & generalize the basic model so that it can be applied in a rich variety of situations The book demonstrates how HMMs can be applied to a wide range of types of time series continuous-valued circular multivariate binary bounded & unbounded counts & categorical observations It also discusses how to employ the freely available computing environment R to carry out the computations Features Presents an accessible overview of HMMs Explores a variety of applications in ecology finance epidemiology climatology & sociology
Includes: numerous theoretical & programming exercises Provides most of the analysed data sets online New to the second edition A total of five chapters on extensions including HMMs for longitudinal data hidden semi-Markov models & models with continuous-valued state process New case studies on animal movement rainfall occurrence & capture-recapture data